Sunday 10 July 2011

A Graham kinda Stock...

I have just came across a cheap stock based on Graham's criterion. This stock passes the following Graham's tests-
  • Cash Bargain
  • Net net bargain
  • Book Value Bargain
Current Stock Price= Rs 87/-

Let see each criteria in detail-

Cash Bargain- As of latest Balance sheet, Cash is 339 crs. Add investments of 92 crs. Subtract debt of 34 crs. And we get a Cash per share of 103 Rs/- (I have taken investments at 60% of Book Value to arrive at Cash/ share).

Net Net Bargain- Net Working Capital minus debt comes out to be Rs 225 per share.

Book Value Bargain- Being a financial stock, comparing Price with Book Value makes sense. Book Value stands at Rs 226 per share. Hence, P/B is less than 0.4

Hence, current stock price looks very low on Graham's scales.

Mr. Market should be having some reason for this low valuation. Yes, there is a reason. Some top executives are involved in a bribery case by CBI. Stock has fallen 90% from its highs due to that CBI case. But company has no liability due to that.

I would not like to name the stock here to avoid Endowment Bias. But I expect it to go up by 100%.
P/B less than 1 for a financial stock which is not a cash burn looks absurd to me!!!!